OUR APPROACH
Simulate before you decide.
One decision. Many possible futures.
North Star explores how other actors could respond—and where those responses could lead.
Trace the reactions.
See how one decision leads to another.
Compare the pathways.
Explore where tensions escalate, stabilize, or ease.
Refine your next move.
Test alternatives before you act.
CAPABILITIES
Explore decisions with North Star.
WHY ANADYR HORIZON
“The risk is extraordinary. World War III has already begun…”
-Jamie Dimon, JPMorgan Chase CEO, October 2024
The Age of Strategic Surprise: Shocks are the new normal
The 2020s are defined by major surprises: COVID, Ukraine, Gaza — events traditional forecasting models failed to predict.
Countries like China are rapidly closing capability gaps through targeted AI investments, achieving more with smaller budgets.
Current focus remains tactical (cyber defense, misinformation) — while strategic foresight and escalation prediction remain neglected.
The Age of Strategic Surprise: Shocks Are the New Normal
The 2020s are defined by major surprises: COVID, Ukraine, Gaza — events traditional forecasting models failed to predict.
Countries like China are rapidly closing capability gaps through targeted AI investments, achieving more with smaller budgets.
Current focus remains tactical (cyber defense, misinformation) — while strategic foresight and escalation prediction remain neglected.